1 edition of Political judgment found in the catalog.
Peter J. Steinberger
Written in English
Includes bibliographical references and index.
|Statement||Peter J. Steinberger|
|Series||Key concepts in political theory, Key concepts in political theory|
|LC Classifications||JA71 .S7877 2018|
|The Physical Object|
|Number of Pages||123|
|ISBN 10||1509513108, 1509513116|
|ISBN 10||9781509513109, 9781509513116|
|LC Control Number||2017042179|
How do people make political judgments and decisions? Each day, people are faced with a host of political issues. They also possess a limited amount of cognitive resources and must grapple with topics on which there is not necessarily an objectively correct answer. In turn, people rely on accessible information to facilitate their political judgments and : Chadly Stern. Expert Political Judgment How Good Is It? How Can We Know? New Edition Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a.
ADDRESS. Philip E. Tetlock University of Pennsylvania Solomon Labs, Walnut St, Room C8 Philadelphia, PA, This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.
With this original and incisive book, Albena Azmanova develops a new hermeneutic for reconciling two models of reasoning that have long been opposed to one another: contextually sensitive political judgments on the one hand versus procedurally-oriented models of discursive validity on the other. [email protected]: Let’s start with the idea to update your book, Expert Political Judgment. Philip Tetlock: Princeton University Press was pretty happy with how well the book did in the first.
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This may be the first book I have seen in which the arguments and objections of opponents are presented with as much care as the author's own position."--Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University, recipient of the Nobel Prize in economic sciences "This book is a major contribution to our thinking about political by: Kant's argument for ‘man under moral laws’ as the ‘final purpose of creation’, to which all subjective purposiveness in experience must be subordinated, provides the basis for subordinating the teleological interpretation of experience to an account of the necessary commitments of a rational subject.
This argument thus grounds the practical employment of. Philip Tetlock's book Expert Political Judgment wants to know something very simple that is very difficult to find out.
Through research, Tetlock wants to know how Political judgment book can make good predictions about big social, economic, and political issues.4/5.
"This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic by: Political Judgment book. Read reviews from world’s largest community for readers.4/5(2).
What is good political judgment. Is it a science subject to strict standards of logic and Political judgment book, or is it more like an art, the product of intuition, feeling, or even chance.
Peter J. Steinberger shows how the seemingly contradictory claims of inference and intuition are reconciled in the concept of political judgment. Resting his argument on the larger notion of judgment itself. What is it to have good judgment in politics.
What is it to be politically wise, or gifted, to be a political genius, or even to be no more than politically competent, to know how to get things done. Perhaps one way of looking for the answer is by considering what we are saying when [ ]. This book is predicated on the assumption that, even if we cannot capture all of the subtle counterfactual and moral facets of good judgment, we can advance the cause of holding political observers accountable to independent standards of empirical accuracy and Brand: Princeton University Press.
Against the backdrop of the radical change in political conditions since the revolutions in Eastern Europe, noted philosopher and political theorist Dick Howard asks: what is modern politics.
Returning to the historical problems posed by the French and American Revolutions, Howard examines the ways that philosophy has tried to understand the contemporary political. "[This] book marshals powerful evidence to make [its] Political Judgment summarizes the results of a truly amazing research project.
The question that screams out from the data is why the world keeps believing that ‘experts' exist at all."—Geoffrey Colvin, Fortune "This is a marvelous book—fascinating and important.
What is political judgment. --Possible avenues of inquiry --Kant's concept of taste --Aristotle's concept of prudence --Judgment and rhetoric --With sympathy and detachment: horizons of a comprehensive perspective --Towards a theory of political judgment.
Series Title: University paperbacks, Responsibility: Ronald Beiner. “Becoming Political is a very impressive and fascinating work, advancing an interesting new reading of Spinoza’s conception of right and law.
This highly readable book is organized around Spinoza’s conception of judgment and its political implications.
The Superforecasting book focused on shorter-range forecasts, the longest of which, about 12 months, being only as long as the shortest forecasts in the Expert Political Judgment project.
Tetlock and Gardner () also suggest that the public accountability of participants in the later IARPA tournament boosted mater: Yale University (Ph.D.) (). Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It.
How Can We Know. is a book by Philip E. mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable. It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock’s new book, “Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It.
How Can We Know?” (Princeton; $35), that people who make prediction their Author: Louis Menand. Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the by: ContentsIntroduction What is Political Judgment?Chapter 1 Foundations: Plato and AristotleChapter 2 The Kantian ProblematicChapter 3 The Arendtian Theory of JudgmentChapter 4 Hermeneutics, Tacit Knowledge and Neo-RationalismNotesIndex: Series Title: Key Concepts in Political Theory Ser.
Political Judgment not only represents state-of-the-art research in one domain of political psychology; it also encourages us to think about the nature of future research.
Any book that can do that is a success." —American Political Science Review. The Books at the Judgment Devotional by John Piper All who dwell on earth will worship [the beast], everyone whose name has not been written before the foundation of the world in the book of life of the Lamb who was slain.
This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.2/5(1).
Review of Philip E. Tetlock,Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know? Abstract The book assaults common sense with evidence.
In order to mount his assault on accepted wisdom, Tetlock spends some pages of text explaining his methods and findings, and considering and refuting many.China. Princeton Asia (Beijing) Consulting Co., Ltd. UnitNUO Centre 2A Jiangtai Road, Chaoyang District BeijingP.R.
China Phone: +86 10 Philip Tetlock’s book Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? demonstrated that accurate long-term political forecasting is, to a good approximation, impossible.
The work was a landmark in social science, and its importance was quickly recognized and rewarded in two academic disciplines—political science and psychology.